By David Woods

19th Dec, 2019 | 9:30pm

MOT Tactics: Cardiff was rough but stats highlight something very important for Leeds

This article is part of a regular series from Leeds United Twitter account All Stats Aren’t We – the team also host a brilliant podcast that goes in-depth into the tactics of Marcelo Bielsa and a deeper look at the underlying stats


It’s been a little while since we’ve updated our ‘Big Chances’ graphs, so here they are. Leeds still the standout side in both creating and preventing them.

These graphs should remind Leeds fans not to worry about what other teams are doing. Nobody else has the level of dominance that Leeds do.

That’s not to say that there aren’t other good teams in the league, but Leeds’ biggest concern should be maintaining the dominance and converting it into wins.

Last time we posted these graphs, Fulham and Preston were way ahead of avg conv%. They’ve been less clinical since and dropped points. In the case of Preston, they’ve also created far less (or won less penalties).

Leeds will still be unhappy about being in the ‘wasteful’ quadrant of the graph and will want to have more games like they did v Boro and Cardiff where they converted well above average in terms of big chances.

Defensively, Leeds and Brentford are in a league of their own, however, Leeds have conceded less goals as whilst it doesn’t feel like it at times like Saturday, where Cardiff scored both their big chances, opponents have been generally wasteful against Leeds.

Kiko Casilla has also been excellent when needed.

Finally, the third graph shows the difference between Leeds & West Brom. Whilst West Brom are similar to Leeds creatively they sit in the quadrant for ‘highly creative, open defence’. This may catch them out at some point. They were highly fortunate not to lose to Wigan.

Fulham also sit in that quadrant of the graph and it has already bitten them, with them falling 12 points behind Leeds, with a vastly inferior goal difference.

Brentford have found their way up to 4th and are always a team to watch, but their form away from home means they create far less than Leeds. If they can change that, they could put a genuine run together, but one would think that might make them the best of the rest.

Very long story short – Saturday was frustrating. It should have been eight wins in a row and a sloppy 30 mins was costly. However, games like that have been few and far between. Leeds just need to keep doing what they’ve been doing. It’s working. The table will look after itself.

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