Daniel Farke standing on the left, with Matthias Jaissle on the right in a split image
Daniel Farke and Matthias JaissleImago

Leeds United vs Newcastle clash in Premier League predicted by supercomputer

Dan Lewis

Assistant Editor AUTHORITY Senior editor and writer responsible for daily news flow, editorial standards, and active contribution across the site network. FOCUS Editorial oversight, newsroom workflow, verified reporting, and original content. THE BRIEF Former Sports Mole correspondent Daniel manages the network’s daily output, working between reporters and experts to ensure accuracy and speed. As a senior contributor, he also writes and publishes original content across the network.

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Leeds United will be looking to get back to winning ways when they host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Monday.

The Whites were beaten 6-3 by Chelsea in round three of the Carabao Cup in midweek.

That defeat in a nine-goal thriller at Stamford Bridge has slightly dented United's momentum, having started the league campaign in good form.

After kicking off the season with a 2-0 win at Nottingham Forest, Daniel Farke's men have since drawn 1-1 with Brentford and Brighton.

Newcastle have also made a positive start to life under Matthias Jaissle, as they have also won one and drawn two, while advancing in the cup.

Those unbeaten league starts are on the line on Monday evening as the sides face off at Elland Road.

What is supercomputer predicting to happen in Leeds vs Newcastle?

Farke has some big Leeds selection calls to make against Newcastle after heavily rotating for the Chelsea tie.

With the sides being level on points, a tight contest can be expected in West Yorkshire.

Perhaps due to home advantage, Opta Analyst's supercomputer makes Leeds slight favourites for this clash.

Farke's men have a 41.3 per cent chance of winning, compared to 33.3 per cent chance for Newcastle.

The draw is given a 25.4 per cent likelihood of happening at Elland Road.

Daniel Farke standing on the left, with Matthias Jaissle on the right in a split image
How Leeds beat Newcastle to the signing of James Trafford from Manchester City

The area Newcastle are outperforming every other team

Newcastle have scored double the number of goals than Leeds so far in this season's Premier League (six compared to three).

They have also conceded double the number (four versus two).

Interestingly, Newcastle's six goals have come from an expected goals (xG) figure of three, with no team outperforming their xG more so far.

That basically means the Magpies are scoring a lot more goals than expected based on the quality of the chances created.

For context, Leeds' xG is 4.4, so they are actually scoring fewer goals than you would expect.

All things considered, this looks set to be a very evenly contested match, albeit one Leeds are considered favourites to edge.

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