By Dave Woods

28th Oct, 2019 | 10:17am

MOT View: There are positives to take from worrying Leeds stat

The Championship is a tough league and Leeds fans know this as well as any. 

This season, just three points separate Leeds in third with Birmingham in 11th. QPR, Leeds’ next opponents, will leapfrog us from eighth if they win at Elland Road on Saturday.

According to Ben Mayhew, Head of Data Analysis at PA, it shouldn’t be this way.

He’s looked into expected goals across the leagues and how the tables would differ if clubs were running to expectation.

The good news – albeit worrying as well – is that Leeds should have an extra 12 points in the Championship, a tally that would see them comfortably top the table, nine points ahead of Fulham in second.

Why is this good news?

Well, it means that Leeds are the dominant team in the Championship in all but points. It doesn’t really help to be leading a fictitious table, but here’s the thing with stats – they generally level out over time.

We’re not even a third of the way through the season yet and if Leeds carry on bossing games and creating this many big chances, the goals will come.

Marcelo Bielsa might look stubborn putting the same team out over and over again, but when you look at the stats it’s hard to do anything else.

We are missing Pablo Hernandez and Adam Forshaw. We’ve also just played a couple of away games against opponents who are second and fifth in the table and didn’t lose either of them.

We’re confident that things will start to swing Leeds’ way and we’re hoping that starts across two winnable league games, against QPR on Saturday and Blackburn the week after.

In other news, Exclusive: Paul Robinson on change Bielsa will make when Hernandez is fit for Leeds