Leeds United simply cannot sack Daniel Farke, these statistics explain why
Daniel Farke is under heavy pressure at Leeds United as it stands after their 3-1 defeat to Nottingham Forest.
However, Paraag Marathe should stick by the German with Opta on 10 November, believing that the Peacocks are actually in a false position in the Premier League, and should be 10th.
As it stands, Leeds are 16th in the table, just one point above the drop zone.
This has seen calls for Farke to be sacked at Elland Road in order to prevent the West Yorkshire club’s instant relegation.
Leeds stars are heavily letting Daniel Farke down
As it stands, relegation is a massive possibility for Leeds.
The Peacocks are on a terrible run of form, and have an awful run of fixtures on the horizon going into the new year.
Yet, if Leeds continue playing as they are, they should move up the table and away from the relegation zone.
- Leeds are aiming to become the first newly-promoted team to avoid relegation in the Premier League in three seasons
- Farke had previously had a tough time in the top-flight with Norwich
- After a recent run of poor form, Farke is under heavy pressure
Opta’s expected table to date insists that the West Yorkshire side should be 10th, with a points total of 15.2, 4.2 less than their current situation.
Much of this is due to the players, with Leeds’ stars currently underperforming both defensively and offensively.
As it stands, Leeds have conceded 5.15 more goals than they should have, the third worst in the division, as well as scored 3.07 goals less than expected, which is again the third-worst.
| Leeds stats this season so far | |
| Expected points | 15.2 |
| Expected position | 10th |
| xG underpeformance | 3.07 |
| xG against underperformance | 5.15 |
Therefore, Farke’s tactics are not what is wrong; it is the players who are incapable of performing to the level needed.
Sacking the German would not resolve this, and instead, the manager should be backed in January to turn the situation around.
Where do Opta predict Leeds to finish?
After the defeat to Nottingham Forest, Opta have once again increased the chances of relegation for the newly-promoted club.
Leeds now have a 51.44% chance of going down, the second-highest in the Premier League.
Unsurprisingly, Wolves are the favourites to be relegated, with a massive 90.15% chance of finishing in the bottom three.
Burnley are also expected to join Leeds and Wolves, with the Clarets given a 49.65% chance of relegation.
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