'Depressing' – These Leeds fans react to Championship table based on xG
Expected goals is the new buzz stat – and it’s especially pertinent to Leeds fans this season.
It’s the number of goals your team should have scored given the number and quality of chances they created.
Leeds are third in the Championship after scoring just 17 goals in 14 games. That they’re third with such a poor return is testament to their brilliant defence – they’ve conceded eight, less than any other team in the division.
Sky is the latest company to highlight the xG stat and how it would alter the Championship if all teams were running to expectation.
In a tweet they posted on Wednesday, they showed the table ‘as it should be’ and it has Leeds on top, nine points ahead of Fulham in second and 11 points ahead of Brentford in third.
That’s a buffer for automatic promotion of almost four wins without reply and would make Leeds almost a lock at this stage to go up.
West Brom, top in the real world, are only sixth in the xG table, 15 points behind Leeds.
It’s quite an extraordinary difference and it’s got plenty of Leeds fans talking on Twitter.
⚽️ If expected goals were the real deal…
— Sky Bet (@SkyBet) October 30, 2019
You might ask yourself, ‘What’s the point?’, but xG is important – you can’t score goals without creating chances and this shows that Leeds are creating bucketloads of good scoring opportunities. They’re just not putting them away.
There are two ways of looking at it as a Leeds fan. Some think that it’s proof that Patrick Bamford is just a bad finisher, and it’s true that players can sit outside of the xG frame. Messi is one player who consistently outscores his xG.
Some Leeds fans think that if Eddie Nketiah was starting we’d be a lot closer to our xG total.
Another is that teams should revert closer to expectation over the course of the season and if you’ve got any faith in Bamford as a striker and you’re a glass-half-full type of person, that’s the way to think.
In a nutshell, it’s a table that says ‘Keep the faith’ to Leeds fans and gives a reason, beyond stubbornness, why Marcelo Bielsa is putting the same side out week-in, week-out.
Here’s what the fans make of it.
— Dave 💙💛 (@David__Naylor) October 30, 2019
— Bradley Mills (@B_JMills) October 30, 2019
No shocks there then folks!
Let’s start putting teams to bed starting Saturday!
— Joe Wainman 🏆 (@WainmanJoe) October 30, 2019
— 🏆Leon Glennon🏆 (@LeonGlennon) October 30, 2019
Cheers bamford mate 💉💉💉💉
— 🏴Danny🏴 (@WarfieldWarf) October 30, 2019
no it shows how efficient a team is in fromt of goal. we (leeds) are very good at creating chances but bad at taking them
— alex (@lufcalexx) October 30, 2019
That's exactly how it would look if Eddie was our 1st choice no. 9 but no its Leeds so we keep playing the 1 that can't score🙄
— Jason LUFC (@jasonoflynn11) October 30, 2019
— Top 6 Leeds 💙💛 (@premierleeds2) October 30, 2019