Leeds United have slumped to 15th in the Premier League after two successive defeats to Crystal Palace and Leicester.
And that’s affected their standing in FiveThirtyEight’s latest prediction for the end of the season.
FiveThirtyEight is Nate Silver’s prediction site that correctly said Leeds would finish top of the Championship last season.
So how does Silver see Leeds’ first season back in the Premier League ending?
The good news is that we’re nowhere near the bottom three, with a 10-point gap between us and Sheffield United.
The other two newly promoted teams, West Brom and Fulham are the other two sides set for the drop.
Silver predicts that Leeds will finish in 14th place and with 43 points, above Brighton but below Crystal Palace and West Ham.
Some Leeds fans might still be hoping for more from this season but we’d be more than happy with a 14th-placed finish and a 10-point gap to the bottom three.
It’s all about consolidation and Leeds fans can think themselves lucky they don’t support Fulham or West Brom, where the outlook is already looking pretty bleak.
Leeds are intent on consolidating the right way as well, playing thrilling, attacking football and taking the game and controlling possession against sides like Liverpool and Man City.
The only bad thing about this prediction table is that we’re directly above Brighton, who had said at the start of the season that they wouldn’t sell Ben White to us as we were direct competitors.
We’d much prefer to see Brighton in the bottom three, which could open back up a permanent move for Ben White.
In other Leeds United news, MOT View: Unseen VAR angle shows just how bad Mike Dean decision for Leeds v Palace was