(Credit: Hasan Karim)
(Credit: Hasan Karim)

Leeds United relegation chances take another hit in supercomputer prediction after Aston Villa defeat

Jack Dawson

Correspondent AUTHORITY Football journalist with experience at the Edinburgh Evening News and GRV Media; Masters graduate from the University of Derby. FOCUS Scottish Premiership coverage with specialist knowledge of Rangers, Celtic, Hearts, Aberdeen, and Motherwell. THE INSIGHT Jack utilises a network of club and industry contacts across the Scottish Premiership to deliver verified, high-speed reporting. He provides the tactical and transfer insight behind the headlines to ensure fans get the full story as it happens.

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Leeds’ chances of staying in the Premier League have taken another downturn after their 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa on Sunday.

The Peacocks have been one of the favourites to be relegated throughout much of the season.

However, a positive run of form at the start of the campaign actually saw Leeds backed to stay in the Premier League by Opta as they moved up the Premier League terrible.

Yet, a terrible run of form has followed, with the 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa at Elland Road leaving them stranded in the relegation zone.

As a result, the odds of the West Yorkshire side surviving the drop have quickly worsened.

Leeds United manager Daniel Farke looking down whilst on the touchline.
Daniel Farke is under increasing pressure at Leeds United (Credit: Imago)

Leeds third-favourites to be relegated

Farke’s side had a 51.44 per cent chance of going down after their defeat to Nottingham Forest. However, this has significantly worsened.

Opta on 23 November is now backing Leeds to finish 18th, with the odds of relegation now standing at a staggering 58.69 per cent.

Wolves remain the favourites to go down at 94.57 per cent, while Burnley are predicted to finish 19th, with a 62.72 per cent chance of finishing in the bottom three.

Leeds United chairman Paraag Marathe
Paraag Marathe may have to make a decision on Farke soon Credit: Imago

Above Leeds is West Ham, with the East London club now just 37.61 per cent likely to be relegated.

Leeds should be 10th as it stands

So far this season, Opta believes that Leeds have been incredibly unlucky.

According to the expected points table, the Peacocks should actually be 10th, with 15.2 points.

Much of this is due to their underperformance defensively, with Leeds conceding 22 goals from just a 14.8 xG against.

Hopefully, Farke’s fortunes will soon turn around, and Leeds will quickly move out and away from the relegation zone.

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