(Credit: Imago)

Jacob Raw

Tue 14 April 2026 15:10, UK

Leeds United‘s predicted chances of Premier League relegation are nearly nonexistent following their win over Manchester United this Monday.

The Whites recorded a historic win at Old Trafford, as they travelled back to Elland Road with three points after a 2-1 victory.

Noah Okafor was the hero, as his two first-half goals were enough to get the job done against Michael Carrick’s side, who were down to 10 men for the last period of the game.

Daniel Farke expressed his delight with the victory, as the German was visibly emotional at the full-time whistle, dropping to his knees in joy.

Opta’s supercomputer has made another Premier League prediction after Leeds’ big win over Man United, and it’s safe to say, the Whites look comfy.

Leeds have just over 1% chance of relegation now

Tottenham are currently occupying the final relegation spot, with Burnley and Wolves both practically down, despite not being mathematically confirmed as relegated.

Spurs’ appointment of Roberto De Zerbi may have worried the likes of Leeds, Nottingham Forest and West Ham, but after the Lilywhites lost to Sunderland on Sunday, all three were given confidence.

Opta have now given Leeds a 1.61 per cent chance of relegation following the win over the Red Devils, which is much smaller than that of their relegation rivals.

It was only at the back end of March that the Whites’ relegation chances were 6.80 per cent, but this win has given everyone the belief that survival will now happen.

Given momentum and current projections, it looks like Leeds may not even have to sweat to reach 40 points, with Spurs performing so badly, and having a relegation prediction of almost 50 per cent.

Either way, Opta has Leeds predicted to finish on 44.37 points, which would surely ensure their top-flight status.

Biggest sign that Leeds won’t worry about relegation next season

There should be confidence that if the Whites do stay up this season, then they will look to build on what is already a very strong foundation.

Players like Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, and Jaka Bijol can all be a part of this Leeds team that looks up the Premier League table in years to come.

Leeds vs Man Utd:

• Possession: 47%
• Shots: 15
• xG created: 2.57
• xG conceded: 1.27
• Big chances missed: 4

Not only did the Whites compete with the Red Devils, but they looked completely better than them, despite not having the luxury of world-class players.

Imagine what Farke could do with another positive transfer window this summer?

There are plenty of positives in LS11 now, and it’s an exciting time to be a Leeds fan.