Leeds United relegation chances shift in updated supercomputer prediction

Daniel Farke will be looking a little more nervously over his shoulders following some impressive results for Leeds United’s relegation rivals on Saturday.

West Ham were 3-1 winners over Sunderland in the day’s early kick-off, while Burnley claimed a point in a 2-2 draw at home to Tottenham – albeit they were leading heading into the final minute.

Leeds are not in action until facing Everton on Monday and have now seen the gap on the bottom three shrink.

Leeds are now just five points clear of West Ham in the final relegation spot, with that game in hand at Hill Dickinson Stadium to come.

But what is Opta’s supercomputer saying about the Whites’ chances of staying above the dotted line come the end of the season?

Leeds' next six in all competitions.

West Ham still favourites to go down

Farke will hope to have a new Leeds signing in place ready for the trip to Merseyside, but that might be wishful thinking.

Playing away at Everton will be a very strong test, with plenty of focus on Leeds striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin up against his former side.

There is now more pressure on Farke’s men to get something out of that game, but the supercomputer still has Leeds down to stay up.

Indeed, the Whites are predicted to finish with roughly 43 points, which is nine more than West Ham are expected to get.

The supercomputer has Leeds to stay in their current position of 16th, with the bottom four also as it is right now – Wolves bottom, followed by Burnley, West Ham and Nottingham Forest.

Opta's predicted Premier League table
How Opta predict the league will finish. Credit: Breaking Media and Opta

While Leeds’ relegation chances may have shifted slightly, then, it still stands at just a 7.68-per-cent likelihood, compared to 18.44 per cent for Forest and 75.76 per cent for West Ham.

How does supercomputer see Everton vs Leeds finishing?

Leeds beat Everton 1-0 at Elland Road on the opening weekend of the season, but the Toffees are seven points better off than the Whites heading into this latest meeting.

The supercomputer has given Leeds a 23.3 per cent chance of coming away from Merseyside with all three points, compared to a 52.4 per cent likelihood of Everton winning. The draw stands at 24.3 per cent.

Leeds predicted XI vs Everton

The odds may be stacked against Farke and his players, then, but it is not the first time they have been written off heading into a game this season.

A victory against Everton really would ease any relegation fears that have resurfaced, but a defeat will then add more pressure ahead of facing leaders Arsenal the following weekend.

A showdown with fellow relegation battlers Forest follows that, in what could be a truly massive showdown.

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