The numbers couldn’t be any simpler for Leeds United right now, but the emotions could barely be any more complex.
Five games to go, six points clear of the play-offs, one huge prize at the finishing line.
But even after Saturday’s rip-roaring win over Blackburn Rovers, we all know that we can’t afford to let ourselves dream about the Premier League just yet.
Increasingly, however, the feeling among pundits and neutrals alike seems to be that this, at long last, is going to be our year.
And the latest comments from Colin Murray and Clinton Morrison exemplify that outside optimism perfectly.
Speaking on EFL on Quest over the weekend, Murray said: “Listen, we’re not Leeds fans so we can sit here and say pragmatically, we’re pretty sure Leeds are going up.”
Morrison then responded: “Listen to what I’m going to say Leeds fans – I think you’re definitely going to get promoted.
“You’ve been the outstanding team in the Championship, and it would be good to see Leeds back in the Premier League.”
Even if cannot allow ourselves to believe that we’re actually up until it’s a mathematical certainty, definitive verdicts like this one from Morrison should go some way towards placating our rattling nerves for now.
Taking a more scientific view of things, analytics site FiveThirtyEight currently predict the likelihood of us being promoted at 96% – with a 69% chance of us winning the Championship altogether.
In short, it would take an unprecedented capitulation for us to screw things up over the last few weeks of the campaign – and when the percentages and the experts are all convinced, perhaps we should be a little calmer too.
For now, however, we’re resigned to spending every match day chewing our fingernails and every game hiding behind the sofa.
In other Leeds United news, Phil Hay delivers major Jean-Kevin Augustin update from sources close to player